Sea levels along the world's coastlines are much higher than previously assumed, more than three feet in some regions, according to new research, raising alarms that the world is underestimating the extent of the threat and how quickly coastlines could disappear.
Sea level rise is one of the most visible and alarming impacts of the human-driven climate crisis, threatening hundreds of millions of people who live along global coastlines. Scientists estimate we're already locked into around six inches of global sea level rise by 2050.
But their calculations may not be starting from an accurate place, according to the study, published in Nature.
To predict how sea level rise will affect coastal communities, scientists often use a model which estimates sea level by looking at the Earth's gravitational field and rotation. But this doesn't account for other influencing factors, such as tides, winds, ocean currents, temperature and saltiness.
For reliable sea level information, the model should be combined with real-world satellite data that can accurately measure sea height, said Philip Minderhoud, a study author and an associate professor at Wageningen University and Research in the Netherlands.
The report authors analyzed 385 peer-reviewed studies published over the past 15 years on sea level rise and the hazards it poses to coastlines. They found 90% relied only on assumptions from models rather than real, measured observations.
It's a "methodological blind spot" that has resulted in widespread underestimations of coastal sea levels and people's exposure to their related hazards, Minderhoud said.
Read more at the link in our bio.
📷: Loren Elliott/Reuters
The strongest signals for sustainable construction are coming from the systems that determine whether low-carbon development is bankable, operable and resilient. The UK Climate Change Committee’s warning on delivery failures exposes a widening gap between policy ambition and execution, especially where buildings depend on clean power, retrofit capacity, credible regulation and measurable whole life carbon outcomes. For developers, investors and occupiers, environmental sustainability in construction now depends on evidence: whole life carbon assessment, lifecycle assessment, life cycle cost modelling and verified building lifecycle performance.
The next clean-power Contracts for Difference auction is directly relevant to sustainable building design. Analysts’ estimates of potential £11bn savings in wholesale power costs to 2050 would strengthen the commercial case for electrified heat, on-site renewables, energy-efficient buildings and net zero carbon buildings. Cheaper clean electricity would support low carbon design and carbon footprint reduction across new-build and retrofit portfolios. Without it, net zero carbon strategies remain exposed to volatile energy prices and cautious capital allocation.
Operational performance is becoming a defining test for green construction. Calls for pumps and building services to become part of a building’s “digital DNA” reflect a shift from designing efficient assets to proving performance in use. Data-rich systems, predictive maintenance and transparent performance records are now central to sustainable building practices, carbon management and asset value. A low carbon building must be efficient beyond practical completion, with life cycle thinking in construction embedded in procurement, commissioning and facilities management.
Climate adaptation is moving into core specification. London’s parks authorities are rethinking planting and watering as hotter, drier summers put urban green space under pressure. For sustainable urban development, landscape is no longer decorative mitigation; it is green infrastructure that cools cities, manages water and protects public health. This is where eco-design for buildings, sustainable architecture and low-impact construction must connect with resilience, biodiversity and public realm performance.
The post-Grenfell debate reinforces a fundamental point: sustainable design cannot be separated from competence, traceability and trust. A project cannot claim net zero whole life carbon if it is unsafe, poorly documented or unmanageable. The next phase of decarbonising the built environment will be judged through embodied carbon, embodied carbon in materials, sustainable material specification, environmental product declarations (EPDs), low embodied carbon materials and credible circular economy planning. Low carbon construction materials, renewable building materials, green building materials and green building products will matter only where they support resource efficiency in construction, end-of-life reuse in construction and practical circular construction strategies.
The direction of travel is clear. The carbon footprint of construction must be reduced through robust whole life carbon assessment, reliable clean power, better operational data, circular economy in construction and resilient green infrastructure. The sector’s credibility will rest on delivering net zero carbon buildings that perform under real climatic, regulatory and economic pressure.
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